M1: Two Breaks in Intercept M2: Two Breaks in Intercept and Trend
Variables Lag t-stat TB1 TB2 Lag t-stat TB1 TB2
Pre-COVID-19 Sample (02/01/2019-31/12/2019)
Stock Returns 3 -0.558 (-5.219)* 03.10.2019 07.10.2019 1 -0.470 (-4.244)* 07.05.2019 07.10.2019
FPI 1 -0.208 (-3.327) 07.05.2019 01.07.2019 1 -0.249 (-3.717) 07.05.2019 01.07.2019
COVID-19 Sample (01/01/2020-30/09/2020)
Stock Returns 4 -1.296 (-6.633)* 18.06.2020 24.06.2020 4 -1.322 (-6.630)* 30.01.2020 01.02.2020
FPI 1 -0.166 (-3.836) 04.03.2020 07.07.2020 1 -0.208 (-3.228) 04.03.2020 07.07.2020
Full Sample (02/01/2019-30/09/2020)
Stock Returns 3 -0.053 (-7.118)* 03.10.2019 07.10.2019 3 -0.555 (-6.706)* 07.10.2019 24.03.2020
FPI 1 -0.230 (-5.145)* 01.07.2019 26.08.2019 1 -0.250 (-5.379)* 01.07.2019 26.08.2019
Critical Values for the NP test
Model 1% 5% 10%
Model M1 (Break in the intercept only) -4.731 -4.136 - 3.825
Model M2 (Break in both the intercept and trend) -5.318 -4.741 -4.430