|
USD |
GBP |
EUR |
|
|
Mean |
SD |
Mean |
SD |
Mean |
SD |
|
AUD |
-0.0020 |
0.8256 |
-0.0114 |
0.7127 |
-0.0064 |
0.6901 |
CNY |
-0.0050 |
0.1767 |
0.0110 |
0.5831 |
-0.0110 |
0.5916 |
IDR |
0.0148 |
0.5682 |
0.0044 |
0.7096 |
0.0131 |
0.6777 |
JPY |
-0.0053 |
0.6490 |
-0.0127 |
0.8661 |
-0.0096 |
0.7709 |
MYR |
0.0074 |
0.4174 |
-0.0047 |
0.6212 |
0.0022 |
0.5462 |
NZD |
-0.0009 |
0.8633 |
-0.0083 |
0.7389 |
-0.0032 |
0.7120 |
PHP |
-0.0002 |
0.3750 |
-0.0086 |
0.6523 |
-0.0054 |
0.6353 |
SGD |
-0.0019 |
0.3498 |
-0.0110 |
0.5274 |
-0.0076 |
0.4565 |
Panel B: Optimal tail risks |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Country (Model) |
|
Beta1 |
Prob. |
RQ |
%Hits out- |
DQ in- (Prob.) |
DQ out- (Prob.) |
Australia (1% Symmetric) |
EUR |
0.1304 |
0.0000 |
53.5051 |
0.7168 |
0.9203 |
0.7337 |
|
GBP |
0.0823 |
0.0000 |
59.1123 |
1.4337 |
0.4524 |
0.0624 |
|
USD |
0.0572 |
0.0160 |
58.4777 |
0.8961 |
0.9484 |
0.1282 |
China (1% Indirect GARCH) |
EUR |
0.0218 |
0.1342 |
52.8522 |
0.1439 |
0.9181 |
0.5256 |
|
GBP |
0.8530 |
0.0000 |
47.1172 |
1.8705 |
0.6542 |
0.0369 |
|
USD |
0.0000 |
0.2998 |
13.9971 |
0.8633 |
0.6823 |
0.9249 |
Indonesia (1% Asymmetric) |
EUR |
0.0229 |
0.1608 |
62.4892 |
0.6356 |
0.9143 |
0.9332 |
|
GBP |
0.0354 |
0.1035 |
65.7241 |
0.6356 |
0.0257 |
0.9936 |
|
USD |
0.1608 |
0.0181 |
48.5774 |
1.0593 |
0.6010 |
0.9992 |
Japan (1% Asymmetric) |
EUR |
0.0326 |
0.0487 |
80.3189 |
0.4286 |
0.9120 |
0.8822 |
|
GBP |
0.0282 |
0.0002 |
89.9377 |
0.7143 |
0.7049 |
0.9952 |
|
USD |
0.1054 |
0.0002 |
64.7149 |
0.5714 |
0.7645 |
0.9117 |
Malaysia (5% Indirect GARCH) |
EUR |
0.0046 |
0.0726 |
185.1137 |
4.1237 |
0.6540 |
0.5320 |
|
GBP |
0.0038 |
0.1606 |
201.8054 |
4.7423 |
0.7766 |
0.2403 |
|
USD |
0.0070 |
0.0092 |
139.2723 |
3.5052 |
0.2823 |
0.4601 |
New Zealand (5% Indirect GARCH) |
EUR |
0.0032 |
0.1872 |
214.5715 |
4.0925 |
0.9165 |
0.2952 |
|
GBP |
0.0069 |
0.0440 |
229.9151 |
4.4484 |
0.4491 |
0.5857 |
|
USD |
0.0091 |
0.0965 |
251.4171 |
4.8043 |
0.1105 |
0.5935 |
Philippines (5% Indirect GARCH) |
EUR |
0.0032 |
0.1872 |
214.5715 |
4.0925 |
0.9165 |
0.2952 |
|
GBP |
0.0069 |
0.0440 |
229.9151 |
4.4484 |
0.4491 |
0.5857 |
|
USD |
0.0091 |
0.0965 |
251.4171 |
4.8043 |
0.1105 |
0.5935 |
Singapore (5% Asymmetric) |
EUR |
0.0142 |
0.0082 |
148.4003 |
3.0000 |
0.9145 |
0.1278 |
|
GBP |
0.0095 |
0.0159 |
171.2783 |
4.1429 |
0.5819 |
0.4738 |
|
USD |
0.0038 |
0.0669 |
114.1436 |
3.2857 |
0.1818 |
0.2560 |