Panel A: Summary statistics
USD GBP EUR
Mean SD Mean SD Mean SD
AUD -0.0020 0.8256 -0.0114 0.7127 -0.0064 0.6901
CNY -0.0050 0.1767 0.0110 0.5831 -0.0110 0.5916
IDR 0.0148 0.5682 0.0044 0.7096 0.0131 0.6777
JPY -0.0053 0.6490 -0.0127 0.8661 -0.0096 0.7709
MYR 0.0074 0.4174 -0.0047 0.6212 0.0022 0.5462
NZD -0.0009 0.8633 -0.0083 0.7389 -0.0032 0.7120
PHP -0.0002 0.3750 -0.0086 0.6523 -0.0054 0.6353
SGD -0.0019 0.3498 -0.0110 0.5274 -0.0076 0.4565
Panel B: Optimal tail risks
Country (Model) Beta1 Prob. RQ %Hits out- DQ in- (Prob.) DQ out- (Prob.)
Australia (1% Symmetric) EUR 0.1304 0.0000 53.5051 0.7168 0.9203 0.7337
GBP 0.0823 0.0000 59.1123 1.4337 0.4524 0.0624
USD 0.0572 0.0160 58.4777 0.8961 0.9484 0.1282
China (1% Indirect GARCH) EUR 0.0218 0.1342 52.8522 0.1439 0.9181 0.5256
GBP 0.8530 0.0000 47.1172 1.8705 0.6542 0.0369
USD 0.0000 0.2998 13.9971 0.8633 0.6823 0.9249
Indonesia (1% Asymmetric) EUR 0.0229 0.1608 62.4892 0.6356 0.9143 0.9332
GBP 0.0354 0.1035 65.7241 0.6356 0.0257 0.9936
USD 0.1608 0.0181 48.5774 1.0593 0.6010 0.9992
Japan (1% Asymmetric) EUR 0.0326 0.0487 80.3189 0.4286 0.9120 0.8822
GBP 0.0282 0.0002 89.9377 0.7143 0.7049 0.9952
USD 0.1054 0.0002 64.7149 0.5714 0.7645 0.9117
Malaysia (5% Indirect GARCH) EUR 0.0046 0.0726 185.1137 4.1237 0.6540 0.5320
GBP 0.0038 0.1606 201.8054 4.7423 0.7766 0.2403
USD 0.0070 0.0092 139.2723 3.5052 0.2823 0.4601
New Zealand (5% Indirect GARCH) EUR 0.0032 0.1872 214.5715 4.0925 0.9165 0.2952
GBP 0.0069 0.0440 229.9151 4.4484 0.4491 0.5857
USD 0.0091 0.0965 251.4171 4.8043 0.1105 0.5935
Philippines (5% Indirect GARCH) EUR 0.0032 0.1872 214.5715 4.0925 0.9165 0.2952
GBP 0.0069 0.0440 229.9151 4.4484 0.4491 0.5857
USD 0.0091 0.0965 251.4171 4.8043 0.1105 0.5935
Singapore (5% Asymmetric) EUR 0.0142 0.0082 148.4003 3.0000 0.9145 0.1278
GBP 0.0095 0.0159 171.2783 4.1429 0.5819 0.4738
USD 0.0038 0.0669 114.1436 3.2857 0.1818 0.2560